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2011 Tour de France Preview: Top five riders to watch

Cadel Evans (Australia) BMC: 30-to-1

2010 Tour de France stage 19: Cadel Evans. Photo: Graham Watson | www.grahamwatson.com
Above average: Evans in the final time trial of the 2010 Tour. Photo: Graham Watson | www.grahamwatson.com

Why he can win: There was a time when the question wasn’t, If Evans can win the Tour, but when? Twice the Aussie finished on the Tour podium (2007, 2008), and even at 34, he’s still considered one of the sport’s top climbers. He’s also an above-average time trialist.

What could trip him up: Over the years, Evans’ No. 1 enemy has been himself. Calm under pressure is never a phrase attributed to the BMC team leader, who’s often seems nervous and edgy, and is frequently chippy with press. On top of that, his BMC team is more suited to the spring classics than to defending the yellow jersey in July.