Cadel Evans (Australia) BMC: 30-to-1
Why he can win: There was a time when the question wasn’t, If Evans can win the Tour, but when? Twice the Aussie finished on the Tour podium (2007, 2008), and even at 34, he’s still considered one of the sport’s top climbers. He’s also an above-average time trialist.
What could trip him up: Over the years, Evans’ No. 1 enemy has been himself. Calm under pressure is never a phrase attributed to the BMC team leader, who’s often seems nervous and edgy, and is frequently chippy with press. On top of that, his BMC team is more suited to the spring classics than to defending the yellow jersey in July.