David Arroyo (Caja Rural)
Vuelta history: 19th in 2006; stage win in 2008
Strengths: A veteran rider who knows the Spanish roads and can read the Vuelta like the back of his hand.
Why he can win: He will be out to prove that his second place in the 2010 Giro was no fluke. He’ll also be keen to stick his nose to the ProTeams that ignored him.
Where he can lose: Caja Rural isn’t the deepest team in the bunch. He might be saving his legs for a big stage win at the expense of fighting to ride into the top five on GC.