Ivan Basso (Cannondale)
Vuelta history: Just once, 4th in 2010
Strengths: An aging warrior who still rides on pride.
Why he can win: Basso will be out to prove he’s not washed up, so that might spur him to dig deeper than some of this wearier rivals.
Where he can lose: In the final week, Basso’s engine will keep burning diesel when high-octane is needed to survive the Angliru.