Sergio Henao (Sky)
Vuelta history: 14th in debut last year
Strengths: An improving rider in all areas, Henao can climb with the best on a good day, and his time trialing is improving. Sky is backing him as its top GC option, so he will all the support that comes with the team’s deep reservoir of talent and resources.
Why he can win: He will be able to chase the time bonuses, and perhaps lay a trap for some of the top favorites in some unpredictable terrain. The final week, with Cabarga and Anglirú, are ideal for a late-race raid.
Where he can lose: He’s never ridden to win before in three grand tour starts, so he’ll be unproven until he reaches Madrid. Any crack could quickly turn into gaping losses.