Daniel Martin (Garmin-Sharp)
Vuelta history: Two starts, with 13th in 2011 and a stage win
Strengths: An improving all-rounder, with solid climbing legs, and improving consistency and resistance over three weeks.
Why he can win: Sporting one of the best finishing kicks, Martin, winner of Liège–Bastogne–Liège, will be able to hunt time bonuses in the mountain stages to put himself in contention for the leader’s jersey.
Where he can lose: The time trial could be his Achilles heel, and even though this year’s TT course favors his style, Martin could bleed too much time to seriously challenge for the win.